Print This Print This

Posted on April 29th, 2009 in Sports & Leisure

2009 Auburn Football Preview: Game-by-Game Predictions

By Matt Hooper

auburnpreview

NOTE: We updated Auburn’s game-by-game predictions for the August 20, 2009 issue. Check it out here!

In due time, all of our questions surrounding the Auburn program will be answered. Will the spread work the second time around? Can Neil Caudle finally live up to his potential? Can depth issues upfront be overcome? Which Gene Chizik is for real: the genius who made hay in Texas or the goat from Ames?

In the meantime, for argument’s sake, we’re going to spoil the end of the upcoming season with the final installment of the 2009 Auburn Football Preview: Predictions!

Sept. 5 – Louisiana Tech (Auburn) – Tech enters its third season under head coach Derek Dooley with high expectations, considering that Dooley has dramatically improved the Bulldogs program every year since his arrival. Tech defeated Mississippi State in the 2008 opener, capitalizing on MSU’s toothless offense. Isn’t Auburn in a similar situation at the moment? Certainly the Tigers will have their struggles early in the year as they adapt to Gus Malzahn’s new scheme, but it shouldn’t prevent them from beginning the Chizik era on the right foot. Auburn 24, Louisiana Tech 14

Sept. 12 – Mississippi State (Auburn) – In his first season as a head coach, poor Dan Mullin inherits a bare cupboard in Starkville. The lone exception is true freshman quarterback Tyler Russell, the state’s top prospect last year, who figures to have little competition for the starting job. Of course, throwing a true freshman into the fire will undoubtedly have negative consequences. Auburn 17, Mississippi State 7

Sept. 19 – West Virginia (Auburn) – How the Mountaineers will respond without QB Pat White will ultimately dictate the success or failure of their season. The hype surrounding his replacement, Jarrett Brown, is high following his impressive showing in the West Virginia spring game. With RB Noel Devine and LB Reed Williams both returning for 2009, chances are the Mountaineers will be in prime position to contend for the Big East title this season. Will playing in the Alabama heat cause them to wilt? Don’t bet on it. West Virginia 28, Auburn 20

Sept. 26 – Ball State (Auburn) – Unlike West Virginia, chances are Ball State will need at least a year to recover from the departure of Nate Davis at quarterback. The Cardinals chances of repeating their 12-2 magic from a year ago will hinge on a red-shirt freshman under center playing behind a very young offensive line. Auburn’s last tune up before a five-game SEC gauntlet should snag them win No. 3. Auburn 38, Ball State 10

Oct. 3 – Tennessee (Knoxville) – I said it a week ago while previewing Alabama’s ’09 schedule, and I’ll say it again: We’re about to find out if Lane Kiffin is crazy like a fox or just plain crazy. I’m inclined to believe the latter. In fact, I stand by my recent proclamation (which prompted several dissenting comments from UT fans) that Kiffin is the worst SEC hire I can recall. Obviously, I recognize that he has yet to coach an SEC game, but neither has Chizik, who many of the same UT fans suggested instead. Granted, both could end up being successful in the long run, which would undoubtedly prove me wrong. But, all things being equal between the two men, Kiffin is way out in front in the race for worst hire. Name one incident thus far in which Gene Chizik has embarrassed the Auburn program. Maybe the limo thing, but that’s debatable. On the contrary, here are three Kiffin blunders off the top of my head: here, here and here. Either way, if Tennessee can figure out a way to learn the complicated Tampa 2 defense in time for week five, they can tame the Tigers in Knoxville. Tennessee 21, Auburn 17

Oct. 10 – Arkansas (Fayetteville) – Bobby Petrino finally has a quarterback (Michigan transfer Ryan Mallet) around which he can establish his high-octane offense. Couple that with the return of talented RB Michael Smith, and the Hogs should be hard to stop when they have the ball. The problem last season, which could very well be the problem this season, was that the defense couldn’t get off the field. To make matters worse, the Razorbacks will have only one returning starter in the secondary in 2009. Auburn 31, Arkansas 24

Oct. 17 – Kentucky (Auburn) – This game comes at a bad time for the Tigers; sandwiched in between two tough, SEC road contests. The Wildcats have had a hard time playing with consistency over the past couple of seasons. One week they’re gangbusters, the next week they’re just plain busted. The 2009 defense looks sharp once again, but the key to the Wildcats’ ultimate success or failure rests with Mike Hartline under center. He had flashes of brilliance throughout last year, but they were short-lived. Still, Auburn is set up to fail here. The Cats defense is talented and deep, and the Tigers might be peaking ahead at next week’s rivalry game in Louisiana. Kentucky 20, Auburn 14

Oct. 24 – LSU (Baton Rouge) – Auburn can peak ahead all they want, but unless one of those Tigers-Tigers rivalry miracles takes place this year, they’ve got no shot at victory. Whoever Les Miles has established at quarterback – and chances are it will be Jordan Jefferson – will undoubtedly put on a better performance than the Hatch and Lee show from last season, which still found a way to beat Auburn in Jordan-Hare. Only six starters return on defense, but after years of top recruiting classes, the Bengal Tigers should be able to reload. LSU 31, Auburn 17

Oct. 31 – Ole Miss (Auburn) – It appears that things have finally come together for the Rebels under second-year coach Houston Nutt. Jevon Snead has settled in a quarterback, the Wildcat formation has flourished in Dexter McCluster’s hands and Enrique Davis is in prime position to finally live up to his hype at running back. The only weakness the Rebs have going into the fall is upfront defensively, with the loss of both Michael Oher and Peria Jerry to the NFL. Still, the Ole Miss offense should be strong enough to carry the day against the Tigers. Ole Miss 30, Auburn 20

Nov. 7 – Furman (Homecoming) (Auburn) – Win No. 5 should be a cinch against the Paladins, who finished 7-5 in 2008, but played only one Division 1-A opponent. Auburn 55, Furman 9

Nov. 14 – Georgia (Athens) – Georgia is in rebuilding mode after losing offensive superstars Matt Stafford and Knowshon Moreno to the first round of the NFL Draft. Taking their place will likely be QB Joe Cox and RB Caleb King, both able athletes, but mighty young. Of course, by this point in the season, no one’s a rookie anymore. On defense, the ‘Dogs have a bunch of holes to fill, including finding replacements for both Asher Allen and C.J. Byrd in the defensive backfield. So, does Auburn have a decent chance of knocking off Georgia in the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry? Of course they do. But the game being in Athens gives the Bulldogs a slight advantage. Georgia 24, Auburn 21

Nov. 21 – BYE WEEK

Nov. 27 – Alabama (Auburn) – If my prognostications are correct, Auburn enters Gene Chizik’s first Iron Bowl with a 5-6 record. A win over the Crimson Tide would assuage any ill will accumulated during the season, and would bestow instant legitimacy on Jay Jacobs’ hiring practices. However, Alabama is at least two-deep at every position. By now, new starters at quarterback, running back, left tackle and free safety will be fully entrenched and prepared for the atmosphere they’re likely to face at Jordan-Hare on that Friday afternoon. Perhaps no SEC defense will be better prepared to face the Malzahn spread than Saban’s squad. The Tide’s speed and complicated scheme of multiple coverages should be able to disrupt the Tigers’ offensive rhythm. And with depth an issue upfront defensively for Auburn, Alabama’s trio of talented running backs should be able to wear the Tigers out down the stretch. Alabama 21, Auburn 13

So, we’re going with 5-7 for Chizik’s first season on The Plains. Considering the fact that the Tigers are adopting new schemes in all three phases of the game, likely debuting a new quarterback and have serious offensive line issues, five wins should be what realistic fans would expect.

Could it be better? Maybe, if Tennessee is worse than expected, the Tigers could steal a victory away from the Vols.

Could it be worse? Maybe, if Petrino’s Arkansas team can overcome major issues on defense.

Could it be that we’re crazy for predicting college football games in April? Maybe, but what else are we going to talk about for the next 130 days?

  • Share/Bookmark
  • James44
    I want 12-0!
  • 5-7... your funny

    WDE
  • jhawk1262
    I can see the razorbacks being the suprise team in the west since they have the most starters returning in the western division.
  • Wartiger69
    Me thinks the mullet that you are sporting interfers with your ability to use reason:<)
  • MadisonU
    For the record:
    Despite growing up in rural Alabama, Mr. Hooper seemingly lacks the condition that I suffer from (I think it's in the water in the Black Belt) known as mulletosis. My hair, on the other hand, grows more quickly in the back and tends to plume out in a classic Kentucky Waterfall, a la http://www.mullethunters.com/imgs/4.jpg

    In addition, my facial hair grows in spotty and all "white-trashy" as Dennis Miller says in Joe Dirt.

    Mr. Hooper, however, remains mullet free. He's nothing like his hero, Carl:
    http://www.adultswim.com/video/?episodeID=07c3d...
  • RustyBB
    8 -10 wins.

    See ya here again next fall/winter for apologies and congrats.
  • AUshorecm
    THANK YOU so much for picking us to have a horrible year. When that happens, USUALLY Auburn surprises everyone and puts together a decent season. You're from Bammerham, though, so what should I expect? WDE '09!
  • rednilla
    So...everyone else is going to get better as the season goes on, but not Auburn? It's not too difficult to see the Birmingham bias in this article.
  • MHooper
    Well, teams like Arkansas and Ole Miss are in position to be better, being that both of their coaches are entering their second years with the team. Probability is high that Auburn will be significantly improved in their second year under Chizik. Transitioning to a new staff and a new philosophy is difficult enough, but with that schedule...
  • Bjmp
    Five links on home page RE: sports. Are you going to change name to ESPN Weekly? I'd really like an update on Larry, some music or art info...and of course, FOOD . Getting awfully boring......just FOOD for thought.
  • Alright all you Auburn Fans ! What will be Auburn's record for 2009..Birmingham Weekly has them at 5-7...
  • johnbergin88
    I think you guys are nuts... I mean kentucky defeating auburn at auburn... give me a break. I see us winning 7 or 8 games this season. If you look back to last season as awful as we were, we only lost to lsu by a few points, same case with vandy, I think we are alot better than you guys are giving us credit for.
  • paladin3
    55 points against Furman? haha not a chance. Sure, Furman plays in a weaker league than Auburn does, but it doesn't mean that Auburn will magically find an offense. Being tied for the second lowest points scored in the SEC last year is not going to do it.
  • WDE
    your on the crack -at worse 7 and 5 at best 9 wins
  • WDE
    less crack more realism----

    Sept. 19 – West Virginia (Auburn) win
    the star qb is gone
    Oct. 3 – Tennessee (Knoxville) win
    no way au is worse then last year
    Oct. 17 – Kentucky (Auburn) win
    dream on
    the division games Au will steal one of those, i also think we will sneak up on GA this year

    7-5 to 9-3 is about where this team will end up.
  • As hard as it is for me to do this...I agree mostly with everything said...Ole Miss is a powerhouse this year...as are LSU and Bama..it's going to be interesting..but no matter if we lose every game...I'll still bleed orange and blue for my Tigers...WAR DAMN EAGLE!! LET'S GO!
  • adhansam
    I don't think there's any more pressure put on Auburn football than what I put on our kids and myself...The Auburn Tigers football team represents Auburn University in college football as a member of the NCAA Division..
    college football pick
  • bigbeef
    go to hell
    war damn eagle
  • RustyBB
    Hear that? Smell that? It's Auburn coming and some of you still don't get it.

    Gus Malzahn.

    Oh yeah- and Houston Nutt and Ole Miss are both OVERrated.

    One more post at the end of the (Bowl)season before I retire from this site.
  • MHooper
    Before you retire there hoss...you might want to look at the top of the post where I put the updated season preview link. You might be reading some old news...
  • anon3145
    Not even one prediction was right till now this year Author.....I don't know what kind of weird prediction is that?
  • deanpitaau
    As an Aburn Alum of 95, I congrat your picks. Auburn has done all it can in winning 5 games. With what we have and in transition, we had no chance vs LSU @ LSU. Lets face it Auburn fans, we are going to lose vs GA, AL and most likely old Miss. However we will be much better next year.... I say give our couch and staff one more year... If we when 5 or < then lets replace the whole lot..
  • brannonc
    5-7, huh. wow that is ridiculous... your saying we are going to lose to tenn you wish we will probably go 7-4.
blog comments powered by Disqus

WEEKLY PICKS: do more now

  • FRIDAY, NOV. 20

    FRIDAY, NOV. 20

    GREEK MYTHOLOGY FOR THE MODERN AGE: To review: Eurydice was ...

  • SATURDAY, NOV. 21

    SATURDAY, NOV. 21

    REQUIEM FOR A SCHEME: The featured composition at Saturday’s Alabama ...

  • SUNDAY, NOV. 22

    SUNDAY, NOV. 22

    BLAZE THE TRAIL: Or, at the very least, help trim ...

Weekly Tweets

  • Can Jefferson County break the bank? The meaning of Jefferson County's suit against banking behemoth JPMorgan: http://bit.ly/2JfcKk #bham 10 hrs ago
  • @WadeOnTweets I don't see Dr. Davis on Twitter any time soon. We're plugging your blogging academy classes in next week's Weekly Picks btw. 1 day ago
  • Nice to see @bhamterminal 's @acnatta on Fox6 w BSC's Natalie Davis discussing #bham mayoral race. Video @WadeOnTweets: http://bit.ly/1o93gZ 1 day ago
  • @brightsides Thanks for comments on last week's cover. It was designed by Jeremy Markham (http://bit.ly/1l7Yx1). More: http://bit.ly/4bvRoK 1 day ago
  • Forest Perk Coffee opened today--new coffee shop on Clairmont (next to Piggly Wiggly). Just went by there--the coffee's good. Check it out. 1 day ago
  • Shout out to @DNicholAdams for her tweeting of the #bham mayoral forum tonight. She did a great job. Thanks for the live feed! 2 days ago
  • Also slated to appear: William Jason Sumner (?) & Jimmy Snow. No Smitherman or Hoyt? Election Dec. 8. Educate yourselves. We'll help. #bham 3 days ago
  • Mayoral forum information came from Delta Sigma Theta Alum association, who is putting on forum and was kind enough to call me back. #bham 3 days ago
  • William Bell, Patrick Cooper, Emory Anthony, Scott Douglas, Stephannie Huey, Jody Trautwein and others coming to #bham mayoral forum tonight 3 days ago
  • Don't forget there's a mayoral forum tonight at 6:30 p.m. at Huffman High, and a meet & greet Thursday at Highland Hotel, 5-7 p.m. #bham 3 days ago
  • I think if you count the fact that council started about 30 minutes late, this may be the quickest council meeting I've ever seen. #bham 3 days ago
  • Council meeting over except for old & new business. Hoyt says he is the fried turkey king, and will fry turkeys when done w/ politics #bham 3 days ago
  • More updates...

War on Dumb

Can Jefferson County break the bank?

Can Jefferson County break the bank?

Jefferson County has declared war on JPMorgan.

Upon Further Review

Lane Kiffin’s (allegedly) lost boys

Lane Kiffin’s (allegedly) lost boys

Lane Kiffin’s players are undisciplined? You don’t say…

Column

Surviving the New Depression with sweet taters

Surviving the New Depression with sweet taters

Political commentary plus a recipe for sweet potato pie.

Film

2012 blows up the world real good

2012 blows up the world real good

2012 may be the hugest, craziest, most preposterous disaster film ever made

Small World Cartoons

Jobless Recovery

Jobless Recovery

Things are looking up for the economy! Or they’re not.

(Click cartoon for a full size [...]

Suburban Legends

The Wedding Planner

The Wedding Planner

A classic from the Suburban Legends Vault